Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2024)

Euro indicators 2 July 2024 Next release: 31 July 2024

Flash estimate - June 2024

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Overview

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.5% in June 2024, down from 2.6% in May according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (4.1%, stable compared with May), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.5%, compared with 2.6% in May), non-energy industrial goods (0.7%, stable compared with May) and energy (0.2%, compared with 0.3% in May).

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (1)

Tables

Euro area annual inflation and its components (%)

Weights (‰)

Annual rate

Monthly rate

2024

Jun 23

Jan 24

Feb 24

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jun 24

All-items HICP

1000.0

5.5

2.8

2.6

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5e

0.2e

All-items excluding:

energy

900.9

6.9

3.8

3.3

2.9

2.7

2.8

2.8e

0.3e

energy, unprocessed food

857.4

6.8

3.6

3.3

3.1

2.8

2.9

2.8e

0.4e

energy, food, alcohol & tobacco

706.2

5.5

3.3

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.9

2.9e

0.3e

Food, alcohol & tobacco

194.7

11.6

5.6

3.9

2.6

2.8

2.6

2.5e

0.2e

processed food, alcohol & tobacco

151.2

12.4

5.2

4.5

3.5

3.2

2.8

2.8e

0.4e

unprocessed food

43.5

9.0

6.9

2.1

-0.5

1.2

1.8

1.4e

-0.4e

Energy

99.1

-5.6

-6.1

-3.7

-1.8

-0.6

0.3

0.2e

-0.8e

Non-energy industrial goods

257.3

5.5

2.0

1.6

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.7e

-0.1e

Services

448.8

5.4

4.0

4.0

4.0

3.7

4.1

4.1e

0.6e

e estimate

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2)

Inflation rates (%) measured by the HICP

Annual rate

Monthly rate

Jun 23

Jan 24

Feb 24

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jun 24

Belgium

1.6

1.5

3.6

3.8

4.9

4.9

5.5e

0.5e

Germany

6.8

3.1

2.7

2.3

2.4

2.8

2.5e

0.2e

Estonia

9.0

5.0

4.4

4.1

3.1

3.1

2.8e

0.5e

Ireland

4.8

2.7

2.3

1.7

1.6

2.0

1.5e

0.3e

Greece

2.8

3.2

3.1

3.4

3.2

2.4

2.4e

1.0e

Spain

1.6

3.5

2.9

3.3

3.4

3.8

3.5e

0.3e

France

5.3

3.4

3.2

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5e

0.1e

Croatia

8.3

4.8

4.8

4.9

4.7

4.3

3.4e

0.8e

Italy

6.7

0.9

0.8

1.2

0.9

0.8

0.9e

0.2e

Cyprus

2.8

2.1

2.1

1.6

2.1

3.0

3.1e

0.4e

Latvia

8.1

1.1

0.6

1.0

1.1

0.0

1.4e

0.0e

Lithuania

8.2

1.1

1.1

0.4

0.4

0.9

1.0e

0.0e

Luxembourg

1.0

3.0

3.2

3.2

3.0

3.2

2.8e

0.0e

Malta

6.2

3.7

3.0

2.7

2.4

2.3

2.1e

1.3e

Netherlands

6.4

3.1

2.7

3.1

2.6

2.7

3.4e

0.2e

Austria

7.8

4.3

4.0

4.1

3.4

3.3

3.2e

0.1e

Portugal

4.7

2.5

2.3

2.6

2.3

3.8

3.1e

-0.3e

Slovenia

6.6

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.0

2.5

1.6e

0.0e

Slovakia

11.3

4.4

3.8

2.7

2.4

2.6

2.4e

0.0e

Finland

4.1

1.1

1.1

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.6e

0.0e

e estimate

Source dataset: prc_hicp_manr

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (3)

Notes for users

Revisions and timetable

The euro area inflation flash estimate is issued at the end of each reference month.

The complete set of harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for the euro area, EU and Member States is released around the middle of the month following the reference month.

The next release with full data for June 2024 is scheduled for 17 July 2024.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Geographical information

The euro area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

For more information

  • Website section on inflation

  • Database section on inflation

  • Statistics Explained article on inflation in the euro area

  • Metadata on inflation

  • Euro indicators dashboard

  • Release calendar for Euro indicators

  • European Statistics Code of Practice

Get in touch

Media requests

Eurostat Media Support

Phone: (+352) 4301 33 408

E-mail: eurostat-mediasupport@ec.europa.eu

Further information on data

E-mail: estat-hicp@ec.europa.eu

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Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2024)

FAQs

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5%? ›

Overview. Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.5% in June 2024, down from 2.6% in May according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

What is the historical inflation rate in the euro area? ›

Inflation Rate In the Euro Area increased to 2.60 percent in May from 2.40 percent in April of 2024. Inflation Rate in Euro Area averaged 2.23 percent from 1991 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 10.60 percent in October of 2022 and a record low of -0.60 percent in July of 2009.

What is the core inflation rate in the euro area? ›

Headline euro zone inflation was 2.4%, steady on the previous month and in-line with analyst expectations. The core rate was slightly above forecasts, cooling to 2.7% from 2.9%.

What is the flash estimate for euro area annual inflation? ›

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.4% in March 2024, down from 2.6% in February according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

What is the euro area deflation? ›

Although the risk of outright deflation in the euro area can thus be considered to be, at present, remote, too prolonged periods of positive but low rates of inflation may, under certain circumstances, also be a source of concern requiring an appropriate policy response.

What is the annual inflation rate in the euro zone? ›

The euro area annual inflation rate was 2.4% in April 2024, stable compared to March 2024. A year earlier, the rate was 7.0%. In the EU, the annual inflation was 2.6% in April 2024, stable compared to March 2024. A year earlier, the rate was 8.1%.

What is the CPI in the euro zone? ›

Eurozone Consumer Price Index is at a current level of 126.31, up from 126.04 last month and up from 123.15 one year ago. This is a change of 0.21% from last month and 2.57% from one year ago.

What is the euro area inflation forecast? ›

Meantime, EU inflation has fallen dramatically since it peaked in 2022. It is expected to wind down to 2.7% in 2024 and to 2.2% in 2025.

Has Eurozone inflation peaked? ›

Inflation in the EU has been gradually and consistently falling since its peak at 11.5% in October 2022.

How is euro area inflation calculated? ›

The HICP for each euro area country is calculated as a weighted average of price changes for a wide range of product groups, using the respective share of each group in the total expenditure of all households for the goods and services covered by the index.

Has the US ever had deflation? ›

Deflation can be a cause for concern among economists because a fall in the prices of goods and services can sometimes result in a fall in home prices, stock prices, and even people's salaries. There have been several deflationary periods in U.S. history, including between 1815 and 1860, and again between 1865 to 1900.

Is deflation worse than inflation? ›

Deflation can be worse than inflation if it is brought about through negative factors, such as a lack of demand or a decrease in efficiency throughout the markets.

What does a 2 percent annual inflation rate mean? ›

A 2 percent annual inflation rate means that—on average—a dollar buys 2 percent fewer goods and services than it did the year before. However, it's important to understand that even though prices have risen over time, so have incomes.

What is the inflation rate in Germany? ›

Germany Inflation Rate is at 2.40%, compared to 2.20% last month and 6.10% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.01%.

What is the inflation rate in France? ›

Basic Info. France Inflation Rate is at 2.60%, compared to 2.40% last month and 6.00% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 1.80%.

What is the euro inflation rate today? ›

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5%

What is the historical CPI of the EU? ›

Consumer Price Index CPI in European Union averaged 92.16 points from 1996 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 130.33 points in May of 2024 and a record low of 69.40 points in January of 1996. source: EUROSTAT.

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