UPDATED Aug. 19, 2024, at 9:23 PM
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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
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| Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending Aug. 14, 2024
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Aug. 14-15 | 800 | LV | Aug. 14-15 800LV | Casey | 42% | Casey | 42% | Casey 42% McCormick 39% Thomas 3% Hazou 2% Selker 1% Messina 1% | 39% | McCormick | Casey | +4 | |||
42% Casey 39% McCormick 3% Thomas 2% Hazou 1% Selker 1% Messina | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 14-15 | 800 | LV | Aug. 14-15 800LV | Casey | 46% | Casey | 46% | Casey 46% McCormick 42% | 42% | McCormick | Casey | +4 | |||
Aug. 12-15 | 825 | LV | Aug. 12-15 825LV | The Telegraph | Casey | 44% | Casey | 44% | Casey 44% McCormick 36% Hazou 1% Thomas 0% Selker 0% | 36% | McCormick | Casey | +8 | ||
44% Casey 36% McCormick 1% Hazou 0% Thomas 0% Selker | |||||||||||||||
U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Aug. 12-15 | 677 | LV | Aug. 12-15 677LV | Rosen | 49% | Rosen | 49% | Rosen 49% Brown 40% | 40% | Brown | Rosen | +9 | |||
Aug. 12-15 | 677 | RV | Aug. 12-15 677RV | Rosen | 48% | Rosen | 48% | Rosen 48% Brown 37% | 37% | Brown | Rosen | +11 | |||
Aug. 12-15 | 536 | LV | Aug. 12-15 536LV | The Telegraph | Rosen | 41% | Rosen | 41% | Rosen 41% Brown 37% Cunningham 2% Hansen 2% | 37% | Brown | Rosen | +4 | ||
41% Rosen 37% Brown 2% Cunningham 2% Hansen | |||||||||||||||
U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2024, General election
Aug. 12-15 | 453 | LV | Aug. 12-15 453LV | The Telegraph | Heinrich | 42% | Heinrich | 42% | Heinrich 42% Domenici 36% | 36% | Domenici | Heinrich | +6 |
U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Aug. 12-15 | 592 | LV | Aug. 12-15 592LV | The Telegraph | Gallego | 44% | Gallego | 44% | Gallego 44% Lake 39% | 39% | Lake | Gallego | +5 | ||
Aug. 8-15 | 677 | LV | Aug. 8-15 677LV | Gallego | 51% | Gallego | 51% | Gallego 51% Lake 42% | 42% | Lake | Gallego | +9 | |||
Aug. 8-15 | 677 | RV | Aug. 8-15 677RV | Gallego | 49% | Gallego | 49% | Gallego 49% Lake 41% | 41% | Lake | Gallego | +8 |
Aug. 13, 2024
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Aug. 13-14 | 1,000 | LV | Aug. 13-14 1,000LV | RealClearPennsylvania | Casey | 48% | Casey | 48% | Casey 48% McCormick 44% | 44% | McCormick | Casey | +5 |
U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Aug. 12-14 | 976 | LV | Aug. 12-14 976LV | American Greatness | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin 50% Hovde 43% | 43% | Hovde | Baldwin | +7 | ||
Aug. 12-14 | 1,015 | RV | Aug. 12-14 1,015RV | American Greatness | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin 50% Hovde 42% | 42% | Hovde | Baldwin | +8 |
U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Aug. 6-14 | 540 | RV | Aug. 6-14 540RV | Napolitan Institute | Tester | 49% | Tester | 49% | Tester 49% Sheehy 44% | 44% | Sheehy | Tester | +5 |
Aug. 12, 2024
U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Aug. 11-13 | 600 | LV | Aug. 11-13 600LV | Club for Growth Action (super PAC) Club for Growth Action (super PAC) is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. | Gallego | 48% | Gallego | 48% | Gallego 48% Lake 46% Norton 3% | 46% | Lake | Gallego | +2 | ||
48% Gallego 46% Lake 3% Norton | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 11, 2024
U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Aug. 10-12 | 538 | RV | Aug. 10-12 538RV | KULR-TV (Billings, Mont.) | Tester | 45% | Tester | 45% | Tester 45% Sheehy 51% | 51% | Sheehy | Sheehy | +6 |
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Aug. 8-12 | 1,738 | LV | Aug. 8-12 1,738LV | Casey | 52% | Casey | 52% | Casey 52% McCormick 44% | 44% | McCormick | Casey | +8 |
U.S. Senate, Nebraska, 2024, General election
July31-Aug.12 | 500 | RV | July31-Aug.12 500RV | Dan Osborn Dan Osborn is a Independent Party candidate for office. | Osborn | 41% | Osborn | 41% | Osborn 41% Fischer 43% | 43% | Fischer | Fischer | +2 |
U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
July20-Aug.12 | 400 | LV | July20-Aug.12 400LV | Brown | 53% | Brown | 53% | Brown 53% Moreno 48% | 48% | Moreno | Brown | +5 |
U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election
July16-Aug.12 | 400 | LV | July16-Aug.12 400LV | Schiff | 66% | Schiff | 66% | Schiff 66% Garvey 34% | 34% | Garvey | Schiff | +33 |
Aug. 10, 2024
U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Aug. 10-11 | 1,040 | LV | Aug. 10-11 1,040LV | Mucarsel-Powell | 43% | Mucarsel-Powell | 43% | Mucarsel-Powell 43% Scott 47% | 47% | Scott | Scott | +4 | |||
Aug. 10-11 | 1,055 | RV | Aug. 10-11 1,055RV | Mucarsel-Powell | 43% | Mucarsel-Powell | 43% | Mucarsel-Powell 43% Scott 47% | 47% | Scott | Scott | +4 |
U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Aug. 8-11 | 500 | RV | Aug. 8-11 500RV | The Independent Center | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin | 50% | Baldwin 50% Hovde 41% | 41% | Hovde | Baldwin | +9 |
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Aug. 8-11 | 500 | RV | Aug. 8-11 500RV | The Independent Center | Casey | 51% | Casey | 51% | Casey 51% McCormick 39% | 39% | McCormick | Casey | +12 | ||
July21-Aug.11 | 920 | RV | July21-Aug.11 920RV | Casey | 48% | Casey | 48% | Casey 48% McCormick 36% | 36% | McCormick | Casey | +12 |
U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Aug. 8-11 | 500 | RV | Aug. 8-11 500RV | The Independent Center | Slotkin | 48% | Slotkin | 48% | Slotkin 48% Rogers 38% | 38% | Rogers | Slotkin | +10 | ||
Aug. 7-11 | 600 | LV | Aug. 7-11 600LV | AARP | Slotkin | 47% | Slotkin | 47% | Slotkin 47% Rogers 44% | 44% | Rogers | Slotkin | +3 |
U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election
July31-Aug.11 | 3,765 | LV | July31-Aug.11 3,765LV | Los Angeles Times | Schiff | 53% | Schiff | 53% | Schiff 53% Garvey 33% | 33% | Garvey | Schiff | +20 |
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.
